Friday, July 8, 2011

nolwenn leroy bretonne

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  • saimrathi
    07-12 08:33 AM
    Sent a letter to Arnie telling him about the rally on 7/14.. Fingers crossed...





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  • johnamit
    12-03 09:40 AM
    I don't like idea of making IV a commercial-type business. IV is for legal immigrants and it should be funded by Legal Immigrants, however, practically its not that easy as it sounds, and more importantly its not working enough for IV to operate and generate results that we are waiting for.

    Problem is not that we don�t have money as small as $20, issue is we don�t want to pay. The reasons could be a)- we don�t understand importance of IV, b)- don�t trust IV fund management, c)- love freebies, d)- don�t have money e)- everything else.

    Lets talk about e)- there are 31000 reasons not to donate to IV. Well no matter how hard we push there will be people who will never contribute. I met quite a few who been saying �yeah� for quite sometime and visit IV almost daily but have not contributed $0.01. Can�t help them who can�t help themselves.
    d)- don�t have money: smells fishy, we are Hi-Tech workers, get paid really good and can�t donate $20, I don�t buy this idea. Better explain me next time.

    c)- love freebies: its great concept, I like it too, but when IV is fighting for us, the whole legal immigrant community, can�t we donate $20 for our own future. Lets take it as a lottery, we buy ticket, we may win and may not win, compare it to IV, we donate to IV, IV may be able to resolve issue before we even reach there in GC process (just like name check), and IV may not help retrogration, but still we come to forum, get information about process, discuss our own case, get seniors/gurus review of our own GC case/issues. We can�t go wrong with that. Its doable, just $20 for all this.

    b)- IV fund management: well IV has 25000 dedicated registered members, WOW, but way more than that IV has un-registered unknown number of enemies. Exposing everything on web is not a great idea, its like playing poker with your cards open. IV registration process is very simple and hence ANYONE can join and get sensitive info very easily and may use it against us. To protect that info IV is working on local chapters, local chapter registration is based on personal interaction, almost guarantees us that member is really legal immigrant. Once we are local chapter member then you get all such info in personal Inbox. You can see, verify, and discuss IV spending, see all transparent at this state chapter level. Just join them, no fee, its free!

    a)- don�t understand importance of IV: this is biggest single factor so far, folks who are in their 1-3 years of H1, assumes that by the time they will come to advanced stage of GC everything will smooth by then, as of today there is no reason for them to think about it. One very huge mistake they are making of thinking that GC queue will decrease when they get in line. It won�t. It will keep increasing exponentially simply because number of cases come in line are far more than number of cases exit the line.
    Delta = (# of new cases in the line) � (# of cases exiting from line)

    Trust me this Delta is getting bigger and bigger for you. Donating to IV may not seem important right now, think again you are going to invest in your future. IV may resolve this issues before you reach there. Ultimately saving you 2-3 yeas in GC process, you can earn more $$ in those 2-3 years and enjoy GC benefit too.

    Wow, all this explaining to get $20 from each member. Please point out if there are other reasons for not donating to IV.





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  • nik.patelc
    04-08 01:12 PM
    I have received email notification of RFE last friday April 3rd. I am waiting for actual RFE mail notice. I talked to IO and she said mail notice sent to my home adress? Typically, how long it takes to receive mail notice? 1 week or 2 to 3 days?

    Thank You





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  • americandesi
    07-29 03:12 PM
    How can we figure out the net assets from a 1120S tax return? I have the copy of company tax return with me and I am "accounting challenged". Can some one please help me figure out the net assets, so that I can answer my ability to pay RFE.

    Thanks

    Company tax returns can only show the NET INCOME . You need an Audited Financial Statement prepared by a CPA to show NET ASSETS



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  • smisachu
    07-31 05:00 PM
    smisachu,

    here is what i have figured out in last 4 year and i have been to various blogs.

    1. i have read various blogs all are saying trading options with all good stuff you can hardly make any money. Most of the term you have used i have some idea what its is , but havent studied it properly.

    There is no silver bullet that will make money all the time. If some one says so he is lying. Options can give you a chance to minimize risk but also cap profits. And you can be wiped out in options routinely. However in stocks it is a rare event when your stock goes to zero.

    2. trading is gambling- you can have some edge by stastical analysis what have performed well over a long time. so backtest u r system over 10 years.

    Trading is most certainly gambling, even fixed income. You can build a model and hedge to reduce risk and make it a calculated gamble but still a gamble..

    3. would like to know what kind returns are you targeting with options

    Most professional option traders generate income by writing options. Writing options are very risky as you have a theoretical loss probability reaching infinity. Forming synthetic positions will minimize risk but you might bleed hedging the position. A seller of option is long theta and short delta; a buyer of options is short theta and long delta. Think of theta as the time factor and delta as the hedge factor to put simply. If you sell a call option you have to hedge the option by buying delta units of the underlying stock. And when the call is at the money or near you will end up buying the stock high and selling the stock low, thus loosing money. Black and Scholes famously showed that in an option trade you can delta hedge the risk away. This is not possible and their model is flawed. But it is simple and intuitive and every one serious in trading options NEEDS to learn the model. You don�t have to know the derivation but just the model, and the partial differential equation. I can talk about the flaw and the smile and smile dynamics but many of these concepts need to be drawn out and very hard to explain with out drawing.


    4. spreads can be an way to go ..but has to be directional bet or else difficult. I have seen lot of iron condor guys breaking down in recent melt down and up.

    Any model will work only for certain duration. That is why you need to keep running it and that is why quants have jobs. In stat arb sometimes you run models 3 times or more a day. I mean complicated mathematical models getting data from a provider and running large data sets to find the mean. And then trade when the stock diverges from the mean.
    Each strategy or model has shelf life, so you need to keep researching and running new models.

    Spreads are a good way of limiting down side while also capping upside. Volatility spreads are the most profitable ones and again short straddle makes money almost 95% of times but the 5% when they loose they will loose big. You need to have a certain limiting conditions and then hedge the spread with in this range. Usually you will make a little or loose a little. Sometimes you will hit a home run. It is easy to show this on a graph


    5. so i kind of believe in hit and run and momentum play - what else can make you money where nothing is certain

    I don�t trade momentum, swing or technical indicators. But there are profitable traders who do this.


    6. buying when rsi2 is depressed and selling quickly - can be spread havent back tested it.
    i backtest using stockfetcher. but u cant backtest options, you have to manually do it. itried some using think or swim platform.

    Relative strength Index, McClellan RSI(2) and Oscillators can be an indicator of stock movement. Relating it to the option market is abstract but I think possible. But I feel the options will already be priced in for such potential movements in the underlying. A very good quant I know always says any new strategy will first manifest itself in the derivatives market before equity as the players there are much more sophisticated.

    I am not sure which retail trading platform has good back testing, try options first with scottrade. I use Bloomberg which has loads of functions like OVME-GO where you can back test , simulate and see the volatility surface.


    so i am trying to see if anybody else has any good strategy to share.

    There are many good strategies but I have no idea on sophistication of each individual. For example right now you can sell credit default swaps on Goldman sachs medium senior secured notes and hedge it with delta units of binary in-the-money call options on the VIX. This will give you synthetic exposure to the notes with steady cash flow and the binaries are cheap. If goldman defaults the VIX will sky rocket giving you a handsome payout better than what you will have to pay on the senior secured notes because of high recovery rate if all the default climbs up to the senior tranche. Actually this would be equal to the end of the world in today�s market.

    Or better yet just buy SPX and sit, the market is doing all the work for you.

    The US natural gas market is in contango (I swear this is not jargon:o, there is no other term). So buy long dated/leap calls at the money now. In 2 years you will be so deep in the money you wont know what to do. But average retail investor cannot hedge this as he cannot trade spot.

    So I guess my point is there are sophisticated ways to make money for which the average retail investor has no access to. If there is a simple way then it has already been exploited under the no-arbitrage clause of free markets.

    If you have 2-5 year horizon. Go long the market and sit on it would be my best advice. If people want to meet and share ideas I am open to it. I live in NJ so NY/NJ is fine spot to meet.





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  • poorslumdog
    05-14 01:03 PM
    LOL.. nitin...whoever yo uare... you are a piece of work..I feel sorry for you..

    May be peice of art work...:D

    He is moving/moved to Canada and preaching us to go back to India. What kind of loser..:cool:



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  • reddymjm
    09-25 11:46 AM
    Was that a U turn. I did not get that meaning B4.





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  • Ramba
    11-13 05:35 PM
    Hi Indyanguy,

    This is an excellent question and I was also looking for an answer. I am into my 6th year of H1-B(exactly 5 years 1 month) and also have an approved EAD & AP.
    I have a great JOB offer but hesitating to invoke AC21(moving using H1-B/EAD) because these days there are many 485 DENIALS( the moment I1-40 is REVOKED). And NOTHING is guaranteed even if we send the AC21 documents to USCIS. And the EAD automatically gets invalid anyways when the 485 is denied.
    Doing some research to find out if H1-B extension beyond 6th year is valid if 485 - gets DENIED? (Example: If I get a 3 year H1-B extension based on my current I-140 approval)?

    Also not sure if it applies in my case as I still have 10-11 months of H1-B remaining and if I decide to take up this oppurtunity in the next couple of months and 485 gets DENIED after that. May be I will have enough time to file MTR? I should be fine. But what if 485 gets DENIED after I complete 6 years?

    Please provide genuine answers.
    These answers will BENEFIT many people.

    Thanks in advance.
    Cheers,
    Srini

    In your situation, it is better to use EAD to save remaining time in 6 year period of H1. It is wise to use EAD, if you are in initial 6 year period of H1. In case if 485 is denied, you can go back to H1 and enjoy remaining period in 6 years. H1 extension, beyond 6 years is always based on pending immigration applications like LC, 140 and 485. If 485 (final step in GC) is denied, the H1 extension is also invalid. Fortunatly, USCIS do not have highly integrated system to revoke all underlying benefits (H1 Extn or EAD) based on pending immigration application was denied. After denying 485, unless USCIS specifically revoke H1B extension they granted after 6 years or EAD, you may be eligible to legally work with that document till its expiry. However, if they bring more integration to their system, they may deny all subsidary benefits due to denial of 140/485.



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  • GCforme
    09-13 11:25 PM
    This is what I found in the TOI -Pune..

    [URL="http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Repository/ml.asp?Ref=VE9JUFUvMjAwNi8wOS8xNCNBcjAxNDAw&Mode=HTML&Locale=english-skin-custom"]

    Well not sure if its a known fact, but this is what the future is going to be if they dont take any serious measures to attract qualified medical professional to the US





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  • GCforme
    09-13 11:25 PM
    This is what I found in the TOI -Pune..

    [URL="http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Repository/ml.asp?Ref=VE9JUFUvMjAwNi8wOS8xNCNBcjAxNDAw&Mode=HTML&Locale=english-skin-custom"]

    Well not sure if its a known fact, but this is what the future is going to be if they dont take any serious measures to attract qualified medical professional to the US



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  • qualified_trash
    04-19 10:59 AM
    Is there a contributions counter somewhere on this website?? If not can we have one on the Home page. Helps us to get others to contribute!!





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  • unchew
    06-15 08:45 PM
    Nice :thumb: Like it much.

    Funny how much the background makes it look better ;)

    Hey that is not fair, you shouldn't be able to change the background because you will earn votes for it and not for the iPod design... it interfeers.



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  • tomatocup
    07-18 11:59 AM
    Based on my understanding once 485 is filed, one can only get one year H1b extension it does not matter if one uses EAD/AP.

    Q33 If I-140 is approved, 485 pending, still 3 yrs H1-B extension possible?
    A33 Yes, if you have three years left fro original 6 years. If your 6 years are over and your 485 is filed, you can get only year to year extensions of H-1.
    [Index] [Compiled by Law Offices of Rajiv S Khanna]

    (Posted on 20 September 2005 )





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  • vamsi_poondla
    11-06 03:44 PM
    In reality, many companies who have subsidiaries abroad can use L1 visa program. But H1B offers flexibility that is much desired by many companies. (It is very less abused compared to H1B). No numerical cap on L1B may not go well with many of us. But I am very +ve that the visas are not issued in anticipatory mode like H1B. And why do companies spend 5K if they do not want to get the worker here? Do they like waste money just like that?

    Logically this highlights the real problem in the system - numerical caps. If the caps are not there and companies can get a visa-on demand, they will not spend 5K per visa on anticipatory mode. Because there is no need to do that.

    So no system is perfect. We have to minimize abuse and act responsibly when it comes to sensitive issues like immigration...



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  • misanthrope
    10-03 04:17 PM
    You attack the EB3 calling them third grade workers to begin with and then talk about arguing fair....

    Again, you are making false accusations that are absolutely baseless. I have already asked you in my reply to your previous post to prove what you are saying.
    Till now, nothing.





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  • ChainReaction
    04-18 09:40 AM
    I had contributed $100 in the past and just made my third contribution of $50 and will contribute more...people every drop in the bucket counts and we are IV there is no other organization which is fighting for our cause. So contribute generously



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  • ek_bechara
    06-06 04:10 PM
    Last night I called 10 friends and asked them to call. Few are on H4 and were totally up for it. Spread the message folks and call. This is our one chance to make things happen before November. We are almost there.

    I just contributed 100 USD. Contribute and call.

    WE CAN DO IT.





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  • deepakjain
    05-12 04:59 PM
    I being in US has more self esteem attached to it rather then anything else.

    Please do not speak about forgery and unfair means of getting H1B and even applying for GC.

    If the GC is to be given based on proper expertise, experience, qualification, experience letters, working knowledge then close to 50% of those crying foul can be sent back home without any issue by US authorities.

    USCIS should look at all EB applications on Indian nationals, setup interview and one on one meeting do spot verification...doing this will speed up everything....:D...





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  • raj1998
    04-17 05:16 PM
    The fact that he's asking whether he qualifies for one, on an online forum,shows his level of skill and education. Enough said :)

    though hesitant, but, i agree to that





    jjava100
    04-18 05:05 PM
    Is the porting with the same employer or a different employer?

    Thanks!





    gc_rip
    09-14 03:21 PM
    It is very difficult to get a bill passed in House for increasing visa numbers. Be it legal or illegal there is no way House will pass anything that increases visa numbers this election year. I am doubtful even for next year.

    For this year or for now we should just get something like "ability to file 485 even when visa numbers are unavailable". This is something which will provide some relief to all of us and has good chance of going through. Subsequently we can keep trying to get the SKIL bill passed next year.

    Absolutely. Now with PERM and premium 140, if we can file 485, and then hit the snooze button for 10 years -- no problem for me. I know, not everyone will be lucky to board onto the PERM, but atleast it will be relief for most of us.



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